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Decision-thinking is not unlike poker—it often matters not only what you think, but also what others think you think and what you think they think you think. The mental process (过程) is similar. Naturally, this card game has often been of considerable interest to people who are, by any standards, good thinkers.

    The great mathematician John Von Neumann was one of the founders of game theory. In particular, he showed that all games fall into two classes: there are what he called games of “perfect information”, games like chess where the players can’t hide anything or play tricks: they don’t win by chance, but by means of logic and skills. Then there are games of “imperfect information”, like poker, in which it is impossible to know in advance that one course of action is better than another.

    One mistaken idea about business is that it can be treated as a game of perfect information.  Quite the reverse. Business, politics, life itself are games which we must normally play with very imperfect information. Business decisions are often made with many unknown and unknowable factors (因素) which would even puzzle (困惑) best poker players. But few business people find it comfortable to admit that they are taking a chance, and many still prefer to believe that they are playing chess, not poker.

1.The subject discussed in this text is _______.

Athe process of reaching decisions

Bthe difference between poker and chess

Cthe secret of making good business plans

Dthe value of information in winning games

 

答案:A
解析:

1.本文段由3个自然段组成,这3个自然段分别论述了以下问题:

①decision-thinking与poker的相似性。

②the game theory以及两种不同的games。

③关于business decision的特点。

本题的4个选项把上面的问题都涉及了,问题在于:作者贯穿全文的基本意思是什么?本段提出关于商务决策的问题,是作为决策的一个方面进行讨论的,所以,它并不是全文讨论的问题。poker与chess的分类虽在第2自然段中进行了讨论,但是,此点与决策问题的逻辑关系应当是这样的:

运用这样一种逻辑分析方法,我们就可以得出结论:本段的主旨是讨论决策过程的。

 


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